A new kind of drama is coming up in Delhi every day. One independent MLA has withdrawn his support and another MLA of AAP Vinod Kumar Binny has already withdraw support. Mr. Kejirwal himself has threatened to resign if his janlokpal bill couldn’t be passed. Lot of leader from Kejriwal’s own party has raised voice against him and many have left the party including the founding member Madhu Bhadudi.
The easiest thing in the world is to curse other but it is difficult to actually do those things. As far as we can analyse it almost clear that it is difficult for AAP to give good governance in this situation when they are struggling to keep the numbers. It’s almost next to impossible for him to deliver the hi-fi promises that he has made. Very soon with announcement of lok sabha election date code of conduct will get imposed and new decision cannot be taken. Arvind Kejriwal promised to reduce power tariff by 50% by paying subsidy to power companies, but to pay them the subsidies government has to get approval from the assembly and as there are no scheduled assembly session before Lok Sabha its not possible to do that. Water crisis is also going to give pain to Kejriwal as the summers are approaching and UP government has threatened to stop supply. Power companies are already giving troubles. With all such things its going to be difficult for Kejriwal to get seats in Loksabha elections in Delhi. Kejriwal has already cleared his intentions of contesting maximum number of loksabha seats.
With all such things it is difficult for him to run the government smoothly and to deliver the promises, it will be in favor of Kejriwal that this government falls, but he wants to show that he sacrificed government for the good cause for the sake of common man. His recent dharna at railway bhavan was the part of this strategy. When jantar mantar and ramleela ground was available to him , why he went to least suitable place railway bhavan for it. His intentions might be to create disturbance that can force congress to withdraw support but that didn’t happened. His recent threat of resignation on lokpal seems to be the part of that same strategy. I don’t know what is the problem in sending the bill to LG and then getting it passed from the assembly only there will be some days delay. As congress and BJP can’t oppose this bills and even if they opposed it would favor AAP only. But Kejriwal seems to be knowingly creating issue by trying to get it passed directly at the legislature.
Reasons why Kejriwal might want to run away and wants this government. to fall
1. SC ask discoms (power distributing companies) to pay Rs.50 Cr to NTPC before 26 March, they told court that unless Govt. pay the subsidy amount cannot pay our dues to NTPC. Delhi Govt. cannot continue to pay subsidy without scrapping developmental projects. If CAG gives clean chit to Discoms then Kejriwal has to revoke the power tariff cuts without having any other choice.
2. After Loksabha election if AAP suffer humiliated defeat especially in Delhi, so called 1 crore member will rethink of their decision of joining AAP. It will be like death of AAP.
3. After Lok sabha election Kejriwal cannot do politics like now as there is no significant elections to look after.
4. He cannot concentrate on Loksabha.
5. Cannot fulfill the promises made.
6. Losing support from his own party people.
7. Not able to control crime against women
Advantages on falling of government
With all the troubles and big responsibility of fulfilling the promises its next to impossible for him to concentrate on Loksabha election. AAP also does not have much leaders. By quitting the government Kejriwal can focus on Loksabha as well as on next Delhi reelection. He can accuse BJP Congress for the fall of his government and can try to get the votes of sympathy. He can present himself as martyr who sacrificed Chief Minister ship for lokpal. He can focus on Haryana where they have good presence as the elections there are also near. He can organize various campaigns nation wide to strengthen the party. He can also join hands with 3rd front post poll.
Kejri knows its better to resign for some stupid reason than staying in power and getting humiliated by poor administration, as it is easy to impress poor and other less aware educated masses by being a martyr. Every day AK stays in the power AAP is loosing grounds everywhere and only way to stop is make people think he is martyr.